The 2026 French Open has taken a surprising turn at Roland Garros. Juan Manuel Cerúndolo, ranked 56th globally, defeated world No. 1 Jannik Sinner with a stunning comeback. Cerúndolo won 3-6, 2-6, 7-5, 6-1, 6-1, ending Sinner’s aim for a career Grand Slam. Sinner led comfortably before illness and heat drained his energy.
This exit, along with Carlos Alcaraz’s withdrawal due to a wrist injury, opens the field in the men’s draw. The third round is yet to come, and the title is up for grabs. The Athletic’s tennis writers analyze the contenders.
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev, although yet to win a Grand Slam, has reached three finals. His near-misses could offer the psychological boost needed. Zverev lost to higher-ranked players in past finals, but with Sinner and Alcaraz out, his odds improve. If faced with Novak Djokovic in the semifinals, Zverev’s clay court skills and persistence could see him through.
Zverev’s near victories show his form; continued persistence and a bit of fortune might see him succeed.
Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic, with 24 Grand Slam titles and four Roland Garros wins, stands as a formidable candidate. His track record shows excellence in building form during tournaments. Facing João Fonseca next, Djokovic aims for a smooth second-week entry. Despite a less than ideal start, his experience and accomplishments suggest readiness to aim for a 25th Grand Slam title.
Djokovic is adept at seizing golden opportunities, particularly when the path clears.
Learner Tien
Learner Tien emerges as a potential dark horse. Despite lacking a Grand Slam semifinal or final appearance, his point construction abilities make him a viable candidate. Facing Flavio Cobolli next, Tien’s successes in significant matches give him a chance to capitalize on opened opportunities.
The shift towards cooler weather might suit Tien’s strategic playstyle.
Moïse Kouame
Swiss teenager Moïse Kouame represents an unconventional choice. With home crowd support and recent victories over top players such as Marin Čilić, Kouame’s fearless approach has impressed. Although inexperience might challenge him, his current run suggests an ability to handle the pressure.
His youthful energy and supportive environment could compensate for a lack of experience at the highest level.
With some of the top players sidelined, the French Open title is within reach for a number of contenders.
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