A recent Fox News survey reveals that many Texas voters are worried about Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton’s close ties to former President Donald Trump. President Trump recently supported Paxton at a rally in Denton alongside Dennis Rodman. However, the data suggests that this connection may be aiding Democratic opponent James Talarico.
Fox News Poll Details
The Fox News poll surveyed 1,203 registered Texas voters between September 24-28, with a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. Among these, 881 were likely voters. Talarico holds a narrow lead with 51% of the vote compared to Paxton’s 49%, which is within the margin of error.
Talarico has notably secured strong support from Democrats, with 99% backing him compared to just 1% for Paxton. In contrast, only 90% of Republicans support Paxton, leaving 10% opting for Talarico.
Particularly, Paxton struggles with Republicans not identifying as MAGA supporters, with 22% of them favoring Talarico. Paxton maintains support from 96% of MAGA Republicans.
Concerns Over Trump’s Influence
The poll highlights that 37% of respondents are extremely concerned and 14% very concerned about Paxton’s relationship with Trump. Meanwhile, 29% are not at all concerned, and 20% are not very concerned. Among non-MAGA Republicans, 39% share the concern, while only 10% of MAGA Republicans do.
Regarding Trump’s influence, 63% of Texan voters consider him extremely or very important to their Senate vote.
Trump’s Rally Support
At the rally in Denton, Trump praised Paxton’s loyalty, despite describing him as occasionally difficult. Trump criticized Talarico, warning against his election. His comments highlight the contentious nature of the race.
Leaked Audio and Campaign Challenges
The New York Times released a leaked audio clip where Paxton reportedly admitted that Trump’s midterm convention hurt his campaign. Paxton’s advisor dismissed this as manipulation.
During a previous event, Trump endorsed Paxton while humorously commenting on his appearance; he emphasized Paxton’s role as an effective attorney general.
Candidate Positions and Controversies
Ken Paxton defeated Senator John Cornyn in a contentious runoff supported by Trump. Despite facing impeachment proceedings by the Texas House, Paxton was acquitted by the state Senate and denies wrongdoing.
Talarico’s campaign proposals include an “AI Dividend” to share AI profits with Americans. Paxton has called for tighter controls on Chinese technology and AI accountability.
On marijuana, Talarico advocates for legalization, while Paxton opposes cannabis decriminalization measures.
Recent Polling Trends
Various polls show Talarico slightly ahead, though often within the margin of error. A Rasmussen Reports survey in late September placed Talarico at 46% to Paxton’s 45%.
A Texas Public Opinion Research poll showed Talarico with a 5-point lead. Prediction market Polymarket gives Talarico a 62% chance of victory.
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