Golf often holds the regular season in higher regard than its playoffs. Many believe the PGA TOUR season ends with the British Open, but the FedExCup Playoffs kick off soon. The FedEx St. Jude Championship will be held at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. This year, the top 69 golfers in the standings, due to Daniel Berger’s withdrawal, are set to compete.
No cuts make this tournament crucial, with significant playoff points available. Only the top 50 players will progress to the BMW Championship next week.
Course Overview
TPC Southwind measures 7,288 yards and is a par-70 course. It demands precise iron play over sheer power. Water hazards complicate play, while Bermuda greens add complexity. Missteps can lead to bogeys swiftly, emphasizing ball-striking and strategic course management.
Betting Strategy: I aim to gain 20-unit profit from outright bets on golfers while securing backup with top-10 and top-20 wagers.
2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship Best Bets
- Hideki Matsuyama: +3300 (0.61u) at DraftKings, Top-10 +240 (0.5u) at Kalshi
- Viktor Hovland: +4356 (0.46u) at Kalshi, Top-10 +275 (0.5u) at BetMGM
- Justin Thomas: +5146 (0.39u) at Polymarket, Top-10 +275 (0.5u) at BetMGM
- Tom Kim: +5500 (0.36u) at DraftKings, Top-20 +146 (0.75u) at Kalshi
- Rickie Fowler: +8481 (0.24u) at Polymarket, Top-20 +189 (0.75u) at Kalshi
Hideki Matsuyama
Matsuyama has consistently performed well at TPC Southwind, securing five straight top-20 finishes and winning the 2024 St. Jude Championship. He enters the 2026 tournament following top finishes in recent events. Matsuyama thrives on this course’s demands, backed by strong driving accuracy and a sharpening iron game.
Viktor Hovland
Despite having stronger credentials than some competitors, Hovland’s odds do not reflect his form. He recently won the 2026 Travelers Championship and nearly clinched the 2024 St. Jude. Strong iron play at venues like TPC Southwind remains crucial, positioning Hovland as a key contender.
Justin Thomas
Currently, Thomas’s odds have shifted but remain appealing. With victories at challenging courses such as TPC Sawgrass and PGA National, his performance at TPC Southwind has been solid. His recent top-20 finishes and technique adjusting to course demands make Thomas a viable option.
Tom Kim
Kim showcases ideal gameplay for TPC Southwind. A recent winner at the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open and a consistent accurate striker, Kim continues to gain strokes with his irons. These attributes align well with the requirements of this specific course.
Rickie Fowler
Fowler experiences a surge in form heading into the St. Jude, with consistent recent top finishes. His ball-striking and putting have improved significantly, enabling potential success at the tournament.
The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship ‘One-and-Done’ Pick is Viktor Hovland. Currently, the Mayo Cup season standings are 4,307th, with $5,760,849.
For more insights, follow Geoff Clark on social media or tune in to the “OutKick Bets Podcast.” Geoff Clark is recognized for sports betting expertise at OutKick.
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