As Americans vote in closely watched midterm elections, Russia and Ukraine have clear preferences for the outcome. Republican President Donald Trump’s openness to negotiating with Vladimir Putin provides Moscow with prospects for easing sanctions and fostering economic ties. Conversely, Volodymyr Zelensky observes a reduction in pressure on Russia, coupled with restricted U.S. support for Ukraine.
Russian Interests
Key figures in Moscow see benefits if Republicans retain control of Congress. This control could convert Trump’s negotiation efforts into lifting of sanctions. Alexander Shokhin of Russia’s Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs noted that a Democratic-led Congress might resist such initiatives. Shokhin hopes for relief on restrictions affecting the Russian Direct Investment Fund, led by Kirill Dmitriev, Putin’s economic representative.
The Kremlin maintains a less partisan stance. Dmitry Peskov, Putin’s spokesman, emphasized that Trump remains president regardless of the election results. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov tempered expectations for improved relations, pointing to a strong bipartisan anti-Russian consensus in the U.S. Putin aims to engage directly with Trump, trusting his close aides like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Moscow is counting on Trump’s desire for a notable peace deal to ease sanctions despite congressional resistance.
Ukrainian Concerns
Zelensky faces challenges due to tensions over military aid and U.S. economic moves toward Russia. A Democratic-led Congress offers Kyiv potential leverage. Zelensky acknowledges no partisan divisions and values bipartisan support, as shown when he welcomed a congressional delegation, including Republican Senators. He seeks greater air-defense aid and emphasizes the need for consensus.
Oleksandr Merezhko of Ukraine’s parliament and Denys Sienik, Ukraine’s diplomat in Washington, emphasize bipartisan support. They plan to strengthen relationships with newly elected lawmakers, prioritizing Ukraine’s interests. With seasoned Republican allies like Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham leaving, Ukraine faces challenges in maintaining influence. Democratic gains may not provide the same leverage, which Ukraine requires to ensure Trump listens to its concerns.
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