President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped below favorable levels in at least 11 states that he won by more than ten percentage points in the 2024 election. This indicates increasing discontent with his performance, especially in areas where support was previously strong.
Currently, Trump holds a national approval rate of 36 percent and a disapproval rate of 59 percent as of July 30. This reflects a net approval rating of -24, based on Civiqs’ ongoing online tracking poll surveying registered voters. Over 120,000 responses have been collected since Trump resumed office for a second term on January 20, 2025.
Though Trump maintains high approval ratings in traditionally Republican states, the breakdown by state reveals a loss in 11 states he won by at least 10 points against Democratic opponent Kamala Harris in 2024.
Impact on Midterm Elections
The decrease in approval ratings in these states could greatly influence the upcoming midterm elections, particularly as small shifts in voter sentiment may alter control of Congress. Republicans aim to retain their narrow majorities in both the House and Senate throughout Trump’s second term.
States with Waning Support
Initially, Trump’s approval was positive in states he won by significant margins in the 2024 election. However, approval has since dropped in 11 of these states due to various policy decisions, such as imposing tariffs on U.S. trading partners or conflicts like the war with Iran.
Alaska: -14 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
Florida: -12 (42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
Iowa: – 14 (44 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)
Kentucky: -3 (39 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
Louisiana: -4 (45 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)
Missouri: -7 (44 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)
Mississippi: -1 (47 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)
Nebraska: -3 (45 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)
Ohio: -13 (40 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
South Carolina: -9 (42 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)
Texas: -13 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
Even in states where Trump maintains the highest approval, data shows a clear decline. In Wyoming, his net approval dropped from +45 to +19, and similarly in North Dakota.
Critical Senate Races
Democrats are targeting key Senate races with hopes of gaining control. Competitive contests in Iowa, Ohio, and Texas are critical. In Iowa, Democratic state Representative Josh Turek competes against Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson. In Ohio, former Senator Sherrod Brown is challenging incumbent Jon Husted. In Texas, James Talarico faces Republican Ken Paxton in a prominent contest.
Swing State Concerns
Trump’s approval rating is underwater in all seven swing states he carried in 2024. This trend could harm Republican chances in November, providing an opportunity for Democrats to secure important seats.
Arizona: -12 (42 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
Georgia: -22 (36 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
Michigan: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
Nevada: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
North Carolina: -15 (40 percent approve, 55 percent disapprove)
Pennsylvania: -18 (38 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)
Wisconsin: -16 (40 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)
White House Reaction
The White House dismisses concerns over unfavorable approval ratings, emphasizing Trump’s 2024 election victory as proof of public endorsement. Spokesman Davis Ingle asserted Trump’s mandate to implement his agenda, highlighting alleged historic progress domestically and globally, while describing Trump as America’s leading political figure.
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