As the midterm elections approach, President Donald Trump’s approval ratings are a focal point. Two weeks before voting day, Trump’s popularity has dropped in 41 states and all major battleground areas, based on recent polling data.
Current Approval Ratings
The data comes from Civiqs’ ongoing survey of registered voters, using 137,330 responses collected between January 20, 2025, and October 19, 2026. According to a Newsweek analysis, Trump has a national approval rating of 32 percent, with 61 percent disapproving. This results in a net approval rating of minus 29 nationally.
Positive Ratings in Nine States
Nine states still show positive net approval for Trump. Wyoming leads with a +14 rating, followed by North Dakota (+11), West Virginia (+8), Arkansas (+7), Idaho (+4), and Alabama (+3). South Dakota stands at +2, while Oklahoma and Utah each have a +1 rating.
Demographic Insights
The polling data provides interesting demographic insights. Among voters aged 18 to 34, only 20 percent approve of Trump, while 72 percent disapprove. Approval among those aged 35 to 49 is 25 percent, with 66 percent disapproval. Older voters, 50 to 64, show 40 percent approval compared to 54 percent disapproval. Voters over 65 offer a 42 to 53 percent approval-disapproval split.
Independents disapprove by 66 percent to 25 percent. Republicans show 75 percent approval and 13 percent disapproval. Female voters disapprove by 66 to 28 percent, while male voters show a 55 to 37 percent split.
Educational attainment also reveals divides. Approval stands at 20 percent among postgraduates, 31 percent among college graduates, and 36 percent among those without college degrees, with disapproval leading in all groups.
Battleground States Update
In key battleground states, Trump’s approval is underwater. Recent ratings include Arizona (-20), Florida (-17), Georgia (-26), Michigan (-28), Nevada (-24), North Carolina (-17), Ohio (-21), Pennsylvania (-23), and Wisconsin (-23). Many of these states previously showed positive or neutral ratings at the start of Trump’s second term.
Senate Contests in Focus
Six crucial states with competitive Senate races show negative net approval for Trump: Maine (-33), Michigan (-28), Iowa (-22), Ohio (-21), Texas (-21), and Alaska (-12). These numbers suggest a challenging environment for Republican candidates in those areas.
Changes in Approval Since January 2025
“Trump’s net approval ratings are lower in every state now compared to January 20, 2025.”
The most significant declines include Kentucky (from +23 to -13), Wyoming (from +47 to +14), Idaho (from +34 to +4), and Oklahoma (from +31 to +1).
Democratic Strongholds Steady
Trump continues to fare poorly in traditionally Democratic states. Hawaii has the lowest net approval at -61, Maryland follows with -54, and Vermont with -53. Massachusetts and California show net approvals of -49 and -47, respectively.
White House Position
The White House insists Trump’s leadership of the Republican Party remains strong. Spokesperson Davis Ingle asserts that Trump’s policies on tax cuts, prescription drugs, border security, and job growth are key motivators for the midterms. According to Ingle, the choice is between Trump’s agenda and what he describes as the Democrats’ “extreme liberal policies.”
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